James G. Hershberg is a history professor at The George Washington University's Elliott School of International Affairs. His most recent book is Marigold: The Lost Chance for Peace in Vietnam, which focuses on a Polish-Italian effort in 1966 to broker U.S.-North Vietnamese talks. Hershberg is also the author of James B. Conant: Harvard to Hiroshima and the Making of the Nuclear Age. He lives in Washington, D.C.
Q: Why did you decide to write about Marigold?
A: I was running, in the mid-1990s, the Cold War International History Project at the Woodrow Wilson Center, and the whole purpose of it was
to go beyond an American-centric view of the Cold War--which was almost
exclusively based on American sources, and was constructed from basically the
view of the U.S. government--and to incorporate other perspectives.
One day, unsolicited, I received a fax from a physicist
working at the OECD in Paris. He was the son of a Polish diplomat who had
recently died, and he had found in his father’s papers a never-published report
based on Polish archives about Polish secret peace initiatives in Vietnam.
And I worked with the son and we published a summary of that
report… The important thing is that as soon as I compared what this Polish
diplomat had written about Marigold to the existing version, based on not
complete but partial access to just the American side, I realized that they are
very different narratives because the American side was simply based on what
they heard from the Poles, whereas the Poles also had the record of their
conversations with the Soviets, the North Vietnamese, their interactions with
the Chinese, the intracommunist side of this….
I became fascinated by the idea that, hey, this is one of
the last great mysteries of the Vietnam War but also a potentially compelling test
case study of trying to end wars, and the role of mediators in communication
between belligerents separated by language, culture, ideology, many other
things. Why had it failed?...
I had a manuscript virtually done in 2003, and then I
discovered almost by accident, going through the records, I had assumed that
[key Marigold figure and Polish diplomat Janusz] Lewandowski, like [American diplomat] Henry Cabot Lodge and [Italian diplomat] Giovanni D’Orlandi, was already a senior
diplomat. I hadn’t noticed that he was only 35 in 1966, so I immediately
started contacting colleagues saying is Janusz Lewandowski still alive….
I was able to have a colleague get in touch with him, give
me his phone number, and I called him up. No one had known that he was living
quietly…no one had interviewed him. I
asked if it would be all right if I asked him some questions, and he [answered]
in English because he had been posted at the U.N. for a while, and he said, Sure,
that would be all right. I cashed in my frequent flier miles, flew to
Warsaw, and immediately I realized that this is an entirely new book because he had
a fantastic memory, was happy to talk about anything I asked him about, and was
also still [believing] that this was the most important aspect of his career. …
I realized that this is not just a story of Marigold, this
was a year in the Vietnam War through an absolutely unique perspective, of a
communist diplomat behind enemy lines in Saigon. He would hobnob [in Saigon] with Henry Cabot
Lodge and William Westmoreland and play tennis at the Cercle Sportif, and…he’d
wrap it up and go to Hanoi and be Comrade Lewandowski and meet with all the
communists.
Q: Why was there so little focus on Lewandowski before?
A: Most of those who cared about the history were Americans
who only knew English. To really delve into this you had to be able to get
Vietnamese sources, Polish sources, Russian sources, but also no one knew or
cared among the Vietnam historians that Janusz Lewandowski was still alive.
Q: How many years did it take you overall to write this?
A: The first fax showed up in 1995 and by 1998 I was writing
conference papers about it. In 2000 I published 100-something page
single-spaced analysis of it as a working paper of the Cold War Project, and
I’ve been working on it as my primary focus for about a decade, but as a
partial focus for about 15 years, but of course I was doing many other things
at the same time.
Q: Was there anything that you found particularly startling
or surprising as you worked on the book?
A: I had numerous epiphanies. There’s something about the
internet and this process—I went to archives in at least 10 or 15 countries,
but I also had the experience of coming to my computer in the morning and never
knowing if there would be an e-mail with an attachment with a translated
Mongolian document or Albanian document or Dutch document or Italian document
or Chinese source, and to know that I’m the first person to ever see this in
English, and where it fits in the story—it is an incredibly exciting way to do
history....
Really the most emotional moment was talking to the North
Vietnamese diplomat [Nguyen Dinh Phuong] who had been a courier to carry instructions from Hanoi to
Warsaw, and until he met me and talked to me he had believed that the whole
thing had failed because the Vietnamese waited [for a meeting in Warsaw in December 1966] but the American never showed
up. … Only when I gave him American declassified documents and he read them and
we had a four-hour conversation--this was in Hanoi in the summer of 1999--and
he realized that actually the American was not only ready to meet with him but
wanted to meet with him, and the Vietnamese ambassador could have picked up the
phone and said where are you, we’re waiting for you, but as the smaller power
did not want to seem eager, and he became completely crestfallen and said, This
is a pity.
Looking back, he realized that for 30 years [he] had one
view of it, but that there was a completely different view, and that maybe they
had made a mistake, that maybe it could have happened, and it wasn’t just that
the Americans had stood them up, which was what the official North Vietnamese
version was, whereas the American view of it was that the North Vietnamese had
stood us up.
Q: What is the most credible explanation for what happened?
Was it a miscommunication?
A: The failure of Marigold is shared by the three main
actors, Poland, the United States, and North Vietnam. I think the most
important point goes not only to the United States but Lyndon Johnson
personally for overruling his national security team…all of whom had
recommended that until they find out whether or not this is serious, they
suspend authorization for bombing around Hanoi. Johnson was convinced this
is the Poles trying to snooker us…The irony is that they bombed Hanoi again…. A
day later, Johnson did suspend bombing, but by then it was too little, too
late. … I think the primary blame goes to Johnson personally.
Q: Why did Lewandowski decide to talk to you at such length?
A: Mostly because I nagged him. I think it really enhanced
his credibility with me because he was not looking to market his story…. He was
quietly living minding his own business in Warsaw. I’m the one who pestered
him. Had he approached me and said, Hey, I’ve got a great story for you, that
would really have raised questions. He was willing to talk because he was
polite, I think he did believe that he had done his best, and he did believe
that it was a very important story.
Q: This is getting into counterfactual history, but what
might have happened if Marigold had worked?
A: Had Marigold led to the beginning of direct talks,
there’s every possibility [that] not a single fewer death would have happened.
However, when you consider what did happen, the war dragging on for six more
years, another 50 plus thousand Americans and hundreds of thousands of
Vietnamese being killed, and the fact that the difficulty of having serious
direct talks continued to plague the war and fueled the escalation, breaking
the taboo on direct talks and at least beginning direct discussions, especially
when they had seemingly agreed on a lot of bases, could have gone somewhere.
Q: What can we learn from this as a case study?
A: There may be times where having a hard line makes sense
and if you show too much of an interest in peace you’re showing weakness and
that could prolong a conflict. You’re not going to bargain with Hitler. I’m not saying in every case you do the same
thing.
But if there are ways to limit bloodshed, suffering, war, at
minimal military risk, it’s probably worth taking a chance. Because in this
case…the bombings of Hanoi were not about bombing some forces before they moved
south, or a military target that would be somewhere else a week later. These
were fixed targets of more or less minimal significance. Sometimes if it’s a
50-50 thing, go for it.
The other thing that emerged is not to let secrecy…prevent
you from getting the absolute best information about the adversary that you’re
dealing with. In this case, a lot of people were cut out. But also that they
got as close as they did using Lewandowski and D’Orlandi—you have to be
creative in your diplomacy and in your intelligence-gathering and not be so
focused on controlling policy.
--Excerpted from an interview with Deborah Kalb. The Q&A can also be found on www.hauntinglegacy.com.
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